Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 12.616554 14.202789 16.023687 18.295235 21.091773 24.475581 28.966093
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 10.640767 12.559199 14.934451 18.170077 22.597054 28.666600 38.073214
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 9.397958 11.425951 14.061511 17.870402 23.487829 31.958073 46.896765
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 8.586427 10.684303 13.517869 17.817307 24.580852 35.700476 57.974165
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.040847 10.209110 13.238950 18.043922 26.076796 40.467927 73.533561
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.407654 9.535420 12.579207 17.559449 26.263222 42.913880 85.754516
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.989274 9.121787 12.245616 17.524329 27.194719 47.087595 105.668602
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.484594 8.537585 11.590957 16.860060 26.820748 48.365799 118.506571
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.991075 7.934456 10.854658 15.966819 25.844017 47.987196 125.725103
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.593255 7.449771 10.267307 15.269317 25.144420 48.098060 135.383333
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.747075 7.809366 11.051795 17.108299 30.070242 64.819128 254.126970
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.690168 7.835069 11.288138 17.967524 33.113843 78.452917 426.891242
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.327406 7.366419 10.673902 17.144480 32.101194 78.615768 489.021792
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.111812 7.122500 10.429369 17.035299 32.864001 85.877235 721.058788
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.891128 6.856386 10.124277 16.763164 33.148008 91.619216 1052.229808
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.722792 6.665972 9.937862 16.714971 34.031339 100.818916 1891.337154
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.603818 6.549849 9.874658 16.920655 35.693765 115.621072 5569.992779
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.406800 6.292283 9.535218 16.480774 35.354906 119.719715 12226.182801
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.277440 6.142745 9.385256 16.448864 36.271322 132.499049 419541.699846
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.084434 5.876084 9.000930 15.844721 35.248368 132.040927 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.876010 5.575808 8.540029 15.030545 33.424464 125.072004 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.700445 5.326547 8.165517 14.393323 32.105888 121.207300 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.812426 5.577019 8.752204 16.070621 39.031109 192.925185 NaN